Paul Saad And Associates, LLC
  • Paul Saad - Home
  • Contact

November and starting research for tax season...

11/3/2015

 
My favorite trading strategy each year is building my "Tax Loss" - "January Effect" portfolio. This is generally a two to three week trade where I purchase beat-up small and micro-cap stocks with tax selling through November and December adding downside pressure. Since this selling tends to be exaggerated, there can be a slight to moderate reflex in price towards January and beyond... Hence the "January Effect".

I generally do limited research aside from chart/price action and I attempt to find more value related stocks (low P/E - low price to book value - below liquidation value if negative earnings). The second issue is when to start buying. Some stocks seem to sell off all the way through December 31st, when others seem to start getting buyers in the first few days of the final month. So I generally buy a few shares here and there and build the position over a couple weeks. I also like to find at least five stocks for the portfolio, so if I get one or two bad trades out of the bunch it won't kill the whole return. Market performance during Dec and Jan obviously also has a big effect on the general return of the trade, with poor market performance translating into flat/no returns or good market performance leading to outstanding returns.

Since energy has done so poorly this year I am assuming that those stocks would dominate any screens I perform. Therefore I will most likely limit the portfolio to just one energy name to keep it balanced. I will post updates as I add stocks in Dec.


Comments are closed.
    Picture

    Paul Saad

    Senior Manager, Paul Saad and Associates, LLC

    Archives

    May 2020
    April 2020
    March 2020
    February 2020
    January 2020
    December 2019
    October 2019
    September 2019
    February 2019
    January 2019
    December 2018
    November 2018
    October 2018
    September 2018
    August 2018
    May 2018
    October 2017
    September 2017
    September 2016
    May 2016
    March 2016
    January 2016
    December 2015
    November 2015
    October 2015
    September 2015
    August 2015
    June 2015
    January 2015
    December 2014
    May 2014
    April 2014
    February 2014
    October 2013
    October 2012
    April 2012
    February 2012
    January 2012
    December 2011
    November 2011
    October 2011
    August 2011

    Categories

    All
    Short Stocks
    Stock Picks

    RSS Feed

Photo from darinmarshall